Last Week: 3-4 (spread); 2-5 (overall); 0-0 (upset picks)
Craig Carroll's Week: 4-3 (spread)
This Season: 62-43-3 (spread); 82-26 (overall); 8-0 (upset picks)
Craig Carroll's Season: 53-52-3 (spread)
Oklahoma vs. UConn | Fiesta Bowl, 8:30 p.m., ESPN
The Skinny: I’ve heard from just about everyone in the state that UConn has a great chance to shock the world and pull off the upset of Oklahoma in the Fiesta Bowl on January 1. But here’s a dose of reality to everyone out there — UConn has no chance to win the game. No chance. The one and only shot the Huskies have to even keep the game close is if the Sooners decide to play down to the competition. But that won’t happen and Oklahoma will roll to a blowout victory in this BCS game. The Pick: Oklahoma (-17) wins it 52-10.
TCU vs. Wisconsin | Rose Bowl, 5 p.m., ESPN
The Skinny: Very few times will I actually give credit to evil brother Craig, but this is one of those rare moments. At the start of the year, when everyone was saying Boise State was ready to compete for a national title, it was Craig who said TCU was better than Boise and should get a national championship shot. While the Horned Frogs came up short in the latter, here they are in the Rose Bowl undefeated and favored against the Big 10 representative. Craig called it and I’m calling this one in favor of the Frogs. The Pick: TCU (-3) wins it 27-23.
Ohio State vs. Arkansas | Sugar Bowl, 8:30 p.m., ESPN
The Skinny: All five suspended Ohio State players, including QB Terrell Pryor, will play in this game after each pledged to coach Jim Tressel they would accept punishment and not enter the NFL Draft. That’s all well and good for the Buckeyes, but what isn’t is the history the team has with an SEC opponent. Ohio State is 0-9 against the SEC in bowl games and 0-3 under Tressel. That adds up to an upset for the Hogs. The Pick: Arkansas (+3.5) wins it 34-31.
Virginia Tech vs. Stanford | Orange Bowl, 8:30 p.m., ESPN
The Skinny: This game could go either way, as both teams are playing great football heading into bowl season. Virginia Tech has won 11 games in a row after opening with a pair of losses, while Stanford’s only blemish this season was a loss to Oregon. This matchup could come down to the quarterbacks, with Andrew Luck leading the Cardinal and Tyrod Taylor sparking the Hokies. I’m going with an upset. The Pick: Virginia Tech (+3.5) wins it 30-28.
Alabama vs. Michigan State| Capital One Bowl 1 p.m. ESPN
The Skinny: Despite three losses and uneven play all season long, Alabama is still a big-time favorite against one-loss Michigan State on New Year’s Day. So, is that all about hype, or are the Crimson Tide really 10 points better than the Spartans? Go with the latter, as Alabama is in a different class than Michigan State, even though this has been a dream season for the Spartans. Alabama rolls to an easy victory. The Pick: Alabama (-10) wins it 31-14.
Penn State vs. Florida | Outback Bowl, 1 p.m., ABC
The Skinny: Who would have thought a matchup featuring Penn State and Florida would have a coach retiring at game’s end that wasn't Joe Paterno? But that’s exactly the case in this New Year’s Day game as Gators coach Urban Meyer is stepping down after the contest. In cases like this, teams typically put together a great performance to send their coach out on a high note. I don’t see any reason for this not to follow that script. The Pick: Florida (-7) wins it 28-17.
Michigan vs. Mississippi State | Gator Bowl, 1:30 p.m., ESPN2
The Skinny: Make it three upset picks this week as I'm going with the Wolverines to play big for coach Rich Rodriguez in what could be his final game on the Michigan sideline. The Pick: Michigan (+4.5) wins it 33-30.
Here are Craig Carroll’s picks for the week: Oklahoma, TCU, Arkansas, Stanford, Alabama, Florida, Mississippi State.