Last Week: 5-2 (spread); 6-1 (overall); 1-0 (upset picks)
Craig Carroll's Week: 4-3 (spread)
This Season: 37-26-1 (spread); 49-15 (overall); 4-0 (upset picks)
Craig Carroll's Season: 33-30-1
No. 4 TCU at No. 6 Utah, 3:30 p.m., CBS-CS
The Skinny: This is easily the biggest non-BCS matchup in recent memory as both schools look to make a huge jump in the race for a spot in the national championship game. Of course, the winner will still need a lot of help to make that title matchup, but anything can happen. Utah has owned TCU at home recently, going for 3-for-3, but last year in Texas, TCU won going away 55-28. Quarterback Andy Dalton is the best player on the field and he plays for TCU, which gives the Frogs the edge and the victory. The Pick: TCU (-4.5) wins it 38-28.
No. 13 Arizona at No. 10 Stanford, 8 p.m., ABC
The Skinny: This is an interesting matchup that features the high-powered Stanford offense, led by quarterback and NFL prospect Andrew Luck, taking on an Arizona team that sports one of the best defenses in the country. So, which wins out, offense or defense? In this game, look for the offense to rule the night. I wish the spread was a little bit lower, but it shouldn’t make a big difference in the end as Luck will have no problem putting up enough points on the Wildcats to make it comfortable. The Pick: Stanford (-8.5) wins it 38-24.
No. 17 Arkansas at No. 18 South Carolina, 7 p.m., ESPN
The Skinny: This game has an interesting subplot, as South Carolina really has nothing to play for. If Florida beats a bad Vanderbilt team Saturday, then next week’s game with South Carolina will be for a spot in the SEC title game, whether or not the Gamecocks beat Arkansas. Of course, that could lead South Carolina to overlook the Hogs for the more important Gators’ matchup next week. South Carolina will be ready to play and won't roll over for Arkansas. Still, South Carolina has a bad pass defense, so Arkansas QB Ryan Mallett should have field day. I’m going with the upset. The Pick: Arkansas (+3.5) wins it 28-27.
No. 5 Alabama at No. 12 LSU, 3:30 p.m., CBS
The Skinny: Alabama has quietly worked its way back into the national title picture as the highest ranked one-loss team, and with a battle with Auburn on the horizon, the Tide could very well find themselves defending their championship before all is said and done. LSU, however, is going to make getting to that point difficult as it always sticks around in big games, and until a loss to Auburn, was winning those contests. Still, the Tide should roll in this one. The Pick: Alabama (-6.5) wins it 31-17.
Hawaii at No. 2 Boise State, 3:30 p.m., ESPNU
The Skinny: Boise State is in great position heading into the final weeks of the season. Even though the Broncos will need either Oregon or Auburn to lose at some point, this is the closest Boise has been to playing for a national title in its history. The Broncos host the pass-happy Hawaii offense Saturday in what could be a high-scoring, closer than expected game. Boise will win, but Hawaii should keep it close enough. The Pick: Boise State (-21.5) wins it 49-28.
No. 22 Baylor at No. 19 Oklahoma State, 12:30 p.m., FSN
The Skinny: Baylor has had a fabulous year, capped by its victory at Texas last week. But playing Oklahoma State on the road will be a more difficult challenge than that. Oklahoma State possesses one of the nation’s best offenses and its top receiving threat, Justin Blackmon, is back from a suspension, which could make for a long day for the Bears defense. That offensive momentum will continue with a victory for the Cowboys. The Pick: Oklahoma State (-7.5) wins it 33-23.
Washington at No. 1 Oregon, 3:30 p.m., ABC
The Skinny: There is only one team that I trust giving up 35 points - and that's Oregon. Washington QB Jake Locker won't play in this one, so the chances of the Huskies scoring even two touchdowns are low, making this an easy pick. The Pick: Oregon (-35) wins it 55-14. Here are Craig Carroll’s picks for the week: TCU, Arizona, Arkansas, Alabama, Hawaii, Oklahoma State, Oregon.